Reply to “Comments on ‘Why Hasn't Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?’”

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Reply to ‘‘Comments on ‘Why Hasn’t Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?’’’

Knutti and Plattner (2012, hereinafter KP) wholly mischaracterize the ‘‘warming discrepancy’’ that we presented in our paper (Schwartz et al. 2010, hereinafter S10). Briefly, we noted that the calculated increase in global temperature due to long-lived greenhouse gases (LLGHGs) alone greatly exceeds the observed warming. We then examined possible causes of this discrepancy, importantly, thermal...

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Why Hasn’t Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?

The observed increase in global mean surface temperature (GMST) over the industrial era is less than 40% of that expected from observed increases in long-lived greenhouse gases together with the best-estimate equilibrium climate sensitivity given by the 2007 Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Possible reasons for this warming discrepancy are systematically exami...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Climate

سال: 2012

ISSN: 0894-8755,1520-0442

DOI: 10.1175/2011jcli4161.1